(Everbright Securities Research Institute) 1, the export tax rebate policy of increased state support for export enterprises, the orderly adjustment of tax policies, will include non-ferrous metals industry and other export-related business operators to improve the situation have a direct positive impact, but Difficult to change the export growth rate of decline in profits on a downward trend.
2, from the adjustment target, the export tax rebate adjustment related to the product range more widely. 1-9 months in 2008, China's copper (excluding brass ribbed) 1-9 month cumulative exports of 120,000 tons, the month in September exports 12,000 tons, accounting for all types of copper products, 20.6 percent of total exports; plate March 1-9 with a total export of 668,000 tons, the month in September exports 90,000 tons, accounting for all types of aluminum products, 17.3 percent of total exports.
3, in accordance with a simple static calculation, the export tax rebate rate will increase to 2009 and the brass plate with the actual export earnings increased by about the 500,000,000 yuan. However, taking into account the actual implementation of the process, the foreign importers may raise the export tax rebate rate for a rock bottom price, domestic exporters to benefit from the actual situation there is a big discount.
4, from the medium and long-term decline in the global economy as a whole against the background of China's export tax policies to encourage foreign producers will be the market share have a crowding-out effect, other countries could easily lead to more severe restrictions on the export policy, and the world of international trade Would tend to further enhance protection.
5, and taking into account the global pricing mechanism for import and export trade, compared with other industries, the bulk of goods for the effect of tax policy is null and void.
6, in the near future, the state has launched a series of power grids to increase, affordable housing, such as policies to stimulate investment in fixed assets, to a certain extent, non-ferrous metals industry to improve the actual needs and expectations, but it can offset the negative global economic downturn Effects remain to be seen.
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